Tuesday 9 June 2009

Melzer and Schuettler

Just a quick note tonight to sat there's two bets we really like tomorrow, both at Halle.

In fact we don't like Melzer to beat Kiefer at 2.8, we absolutely love it. And schuettler to beat Becker at 2.14 is also a great bet. We're on them.

Tara

Monday 8 June 2009

TREBLE

We're not afraid to stick our neck out at Ace Tennis Bets so today we're suggesting a treble to get the grasscourt season under way.
We like the Betfair prices on Hanescu to beat Becker in Halle, along with Muller to beat Goodall and Querrey to beat Chardy at Queen's.
The treble price at Betfair comes to 8.6 at time of writing - we reckon it's worth taking.
If you're not that brave maybe take two of them in a double and if the first comes in lay off the second one to help ensure a small profit either way.
Let us know how you get on either by posting a comment or emailing us at acetennisbets@live.co.uk

cheers!!

Sunday 7 June 2009

Queen's Club

Queen's starts tomorrow (Monday).

Andy Murray is the bookies' favourite at an alarmingly short price of 2.66 with Betfair.

Making him fave is probably fair enough but we really don't like that price.

The equivalent of 13/8 is pretty poor given the variables involved - ie first grass court tourney of the year and all the wild results that can bring. We'd advise staying away from that until the price moves out a bit.

Andy Roddick's got a great record at Queen's and is coming off the back of his best ever French Open. Fortunately for his grass court hopes his run wasn't too great though!!! He should have had a few days' grass practice in before he gets under way. He's 4.4 at Betfair. Not a great price. Again, we'd suggest leaving for now.

So, what about outsiders. Giles Simon is 30 with Betfair at time of writing. That is a pretty exceptional price for a number three seed!!! His grass court record is not particularly good but he's been in great form for the past year. He may not win the tournament but we recommend a few quid on him on the basis that if he fulfils his seeding - ie reaches the semi-finals - his price will have come in a long way, giving a great chance to lay him and guarantee a profit no matter what happens.

Feliciano Lopez also offers great value with these tactics at 60.

They're our two to watch this week.

Comments

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Or feel free to email us at acetennisbets@live.co.uk


cheers

Fed aces

Did you take our tip on Fed to serve most aces in French final? Hope so. He won 16-2. At a Betfair price of 1.57 that was a tidy little profit.

Wimbers

Wimbledon's still a fortnight away but we've taken an early look at what's on offer.

Betfair have Federer as a standout favourite at 2.64 to lift the title, with Nadal and Murray joint second faves at 5.6.

We don't like these odds hugely in such an unpredictable event - grass court singles where the champion has to win seven matches.

Until the picture becomes a bit clearer we're suggesting a better value bet.

Betfair have Andy Roddick at 40 to lift the title. Now, while he's got an outside chance, we don't really believe he'll do it. Our point here, though, is that we reckon with his Wimbers record and gigantic serve he's a great bet to get to the second week and probably into the quarters or semis. By then his price will have come right down and he can be laid off which will guarantee a small profit whether he goes on to win the tournament or not.

This is also a great tactic with some of the rank outsiders. Betfair have got a lot of players at 1000. Now, if you can find one who'll get through two or three rounds, his price will come right down and he can be laid off for a good guaranteed profit no matter what happens.

For these purposes we like the look of Jurgen Melzer and last year's semi-finalist Rainer Schuettler.

Fed v Sod

Now...enough crowing about our recent successes. Down to today's business - the French Open men's singles final between Roger Federer and Robin Soderling.

In all honesty we can't see past the Swiss star for this one. Soderling has had an incredible tournament with wins over Nadal, Davydenko and Gonzalez. He's in the form of his life.

The only problem is, we just can't see Federer losing.

He leads 9-0 in the head to head. In those matches he's lost just one set. In the pair's two clay court encounters he's lost just 11 games. Federer is chasing history - the career grand slam.

Everything is screaming out: "Bet Fed". Our difficulty with that is the price.

Betfair have him at 1.28 at time of writing. In other words a $10 stake will only return a $2.80 profit if he wins. Skybet have him at 1.22.

If you're happy with small, (relatively) safe returns then consider backing Federer to win.

We're not, though. We like to look for value - and a bit of fun.

So, if you really want a bet on the match, why not try this. Bet on Federer to serve the most aces.

Betfair have him at 1.54 and Skybet have got him at 1.57. Our logic is simple - Fed has served 64 aces in six matches so far in the tournament - that' s an average of 10.66 per match. Soderling has banged down 52 - an average of 8.66. Soderling might have a rocket but Fed serves smart.

Skybet have got a few other 'fun' bets that might tickle your fancy, such as the score in each of the players' opening service games. For example, you can bet Federere to hold his to 40 at 5, or take Soderling to drop his to love at 29!!! We're not really offering any advice on these types of bets as they really are just guesswork, but they might give you a bit of fun.

Whatever you decide to do today - as ever, good luck!

Kuznetsova win

Ok...who didn't follow our advice on the French Open women's singles final? FOOLS!!!

We told you to back Kuznetsova to beat Safina at 3.2 with Betfair. Safina was a hot bookies' favourite but we loved the odds on Kuz. For those who don't quite understand the decimal point odds, it's really very simple. You multiply your stake by the price to work out how much you get back.

In other words $10 on Kuznetsova at 3.2 would have returned $32 - a clear profit of $22!!! Not bad in a two horse race.

We can't get it right every time, but we'll keep trying to find you the best value tennis tips.

Friday 5 June 2009

Fed v Del five setter

First things first, a recap on yesterday's tips.

OK, we called it wrong on Gonzalez v Soderling. We predicted a win for the Chilean but the forehand which destroyed Andy Murray failed to show up today.

However, we think we more than made up for it with our tip that the best value bet in the Federer v Del Potro clash was a 3-2 win for the Swiss genius at 7.6 on Betfair. A $10 punt there would have returned a $66 profit...not bad.

So all in all, anyone following our two tips yesterday should have done very nicely, despite the 50 per cent success rate.

Today's tip is straightforward. Back Svetlana Kuznetsova to beat Dinara Safina in the French Open women's singles final.

Safina might be world number one but she only leads 8-5 in the head to head. The pair are locked at 1-1 tis year - both on clay - and Kuznetsova has had a great tourney so far.

In fairness in a straight evens bet we'd go for Safina, but Betfair are offering Kuznetsova at 3.2 at time of writing. In a match you'd probably give her a 40 per cent chance of winning that represents great value.

Good luck!!!

Thursday 4 June 2009

Gonz v Sod

June 4 2009

Next up for us to look at is the other semi-final between Fernando Gonzalez and Robin Soderling.

The Swede's had a sensational tournament with his win over red-hot favourite Rafael Nadal and his demolition of Davydenko.

But we can't see past Gonzalez for this one. He's 4-3 up in the head to head - including winning the last four - and has been this deep in a grand slam before . (He's a former Oz Open finalist)

If Gonz finds anything approaching the form which destroyed Andy Murray in the last round then he's a nap cert to make the final. Get on Betfair at 1.81.

Take Rog in five

June 4 2009

First match we're gonna look at is tomorrow's French Open semi-final between Roger Federer and Juan Martin Del Potro.

Del Potro has been in fantastic form all year - and especially this fortnight. His Betfair price of 4 at time of writing would normally be tempting, but we just don't think Fed can lose this one. He's 5-0 in head to heads, including a comfortable 6-3, 6-4 win on the clay in Madrid a couple of weeks ago. The only thing we don't like about Fed is his price with Betfair - 1.32. Our advice is to stay clear of this match unless Fed goes up to 1.5. Also, if by some miracle Del Potro goes to 7 then he's worth a punt. If you really must have a bet on this match then best value looks like Federer to win 3-2 at 7.6.

Welcome

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Millions of pounds are staked every week on tennis matches worldwide - hopefully we'll give you some of the info, stats and odds you'll need to gain a winning edge over the bookies.

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Good luck and here's to bashing the bookies!!